Leave a Message

Thank you for your message. We will be in touch with you shortly.

Explore Our Properties

Have Home Values Hit Bottom?

The Gentry Team January 20, 2023

Whether you’re already a homeowner or you’re looking to become one, the recent headlines about home prices may leave you with more questions than answers. News stories are talking about home prices falling, and that’s raising concerns about a repeat of what happened to prices in the crash in 2008.
 
One of the questions that’s on many minds, based on those headlines, is: how much will home prices decline? But what you may not realize is expert forecasters aren’t calling for a free fall in prices. In fact, if you look at the latest data, there’s a case to be made that the biggest portion of month-over-month price depreciation nationally may already be behind us – and even those numbers weren’t significant declines on the national level. Instead of how far will they drop, the question becomes: have home values hit bottom?
 
Let’s take a look at the latest data from several reputable industry sources (see chart below):
 
 
The chart above provides a look at the most recent reports from Case-Shiller, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), Black Knight, and CoreLogic. It shows how, on a national scale, home values have changed month-over-month since January 2022. November and December numbers have yet to come out.
 
Let’s focus in on what the red numbers tell us. The red numbers are the change in home values over the last four months that have been published. And if we isolate the last four months, what the data shows is, in each case, home price depreciation peaked in August.
 
While that doesn’t guarantee home price depreciation has hit bottom, it confirms prices aren’t in a free fall, and it may be an early signal that the worst is already behind us. As the numbers for November and December are released, data will be able to further validate this national trend.
 

Bottom Line

Home prices month-over-month have depreciated for the past four months on record, but there’s a strong case to be made that the worst may be behind us. If you have questions about what’s happening with home prices in our local market, let’s connect.

Recent Blog Posts

Stay up to date on the latest real estate trends.

What’s Next for Home Prices and Mortgage Rates?

Here are what experts are saying about both prices and rates.

The Best Time To Sell Your House Is When Others Aren’t Selling

If you’re ready to sell now, beat the competition before it comes onto the market.

Why Buying or Selling a Home Helps the Economy and Your Community

You’re not just meeting your own needs, you’re also making a positive impact on the community.

What Everyone’s Getting Wrong About the Rise in New Home Inventory

You may have seen talk online that new home inventory is at its highest level since the crash.

History Shows the Housing Market Always Recovers

Every slowdown in the past has eventually given way to more activity, and this one will too.

Should You Still Expect a Bidding War?

If concerns about bidding wars have been holding you back, it may be time to take another look.

From Frenzy to Breathing Room: Buyers Finally Have Time Again

If you tried to buy a home a few years ago, you probably still remember the frenzy.

Condos Could Be a Win for Today’s Buyers

For first-time buyers, they can be a smart way to get into homeownership without stretching your budget.

More Contracts Are Falling Through. Here’s How To Get Ahead

When you sell a house, the last thing you want is for the deal to fall apart right before closing.

View All

Work With Real Locals

If working with a team that truly gives back to the community matters to you, we would make a great match. Reach out today to get started on buying or selling your home with a team that knows Moore County inside and out. With decades in the industry and an exceptional team of sales specialists, The Gentry Team has sold more homes than any other real estate firm in Moore County—and more than the total volume of most real estate companies in the region. This level of experience is unmatched, allowing us to help you sell your home for top value while anticipating and handling every detail along the way. We work collaboratively, combining our collective expertise to achieve the very best results for our clients. It is an approach built on trust, teamwork, and proven success. When you work with real locals, you get real results.

Contact Us
Get in Touch
Contact Details

THE GENTRY TEAM

(910) 295-7100

[email protected]



5 Chinquapin Rd
Pinehurst NC 28374